CF Montreal 4-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Apr 2026

CF Montreal
4 - 1 HT 2 - 0
New York Red Bulls
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
USA - Major League – 2026

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.29
Over Pick
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.62
2-3
42%
1.89
4-5
30%
2.72
6+
11%
7.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.83
1/2 ✗
3%
23.1
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
11%
6.36
X/2
13%
5.72
X/X
16%
5.45
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
23%
3.24
2/X
5%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

CF Montreal v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME CF Montreal The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.63 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
1.56 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
354 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2026 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-3 HT 0-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
21.09.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
26.04.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
18.07.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
20.06.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
21.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD

CF Montreal 4-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
4 - 1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.90 xG 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
221 Passes 528
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 16
4 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CF Montreal made light work of New York Red Bulls 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

From a near-even 35% / 26% / 39% read, it was CF Montreal who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: CF Montreal had 32% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 68%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.90 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CF Montreal and 1.50 for New York Red Bulls.

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Result & Final Score

CF Montreal 4 - 1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 35%, draw 26%, New York Red Bulls 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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