CF Montreal 0-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.26
-6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.6 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
362 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
18.07.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
20.06.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
21.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
23.04.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
01.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
0-2
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.06 xG 1.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
435 Passes 325
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls got the better of CF Montreal 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; New York Red Bulls found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CF Montreal had 56% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 44%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.06 to 1.63 — on chances, CF Montreal could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CF Montreal and 1.33 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?

CF Montreal 0-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated an New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 34%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Under 2.5
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