Inter Miami 3-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-8.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.23/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.65
+20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
493 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
14.2 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-2D-1L
AWAY DC United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 2.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
387 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
19.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
16.03.2024 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
09.07.2023 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
04.06.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
19.09.2022 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-2
AWAY DC United
3.52 xG 1.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
510 Passes 278
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami squeezed past DC United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 62% of the ball to DC United's 38%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.52 to 1.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Miami's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.33 for DC United.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs DC United?

Inter Miami 3-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 61%, draw 20%, DC United 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
21 Sep 2025
02:30 CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Analysis →
03:30 Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
03:30 Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids Analysis →