Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Columbus Crew v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
1-2
HT 0-2
Columbus Crew
ABD
Columbus Crew 1-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew and Toronto FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Columbus Crew carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Columbus Crew had 48% of the ball to Toronto FC's 52%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.11 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Columbus Crew and 0.50 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Columbus Crew 1-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 58%, draw 20%, Toronto FC 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5 went the other way.