FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.5
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
12%
5.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.75
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
4%
12.0
X/1
8%
5.37
X/2
11%
7.21
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.45
2/2
14%
4.33
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.6pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.73
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 84%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
13.8 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.30 xG 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
401 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-3 HT 2-2 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
01.09.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-3 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
21.04.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
15.10.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
09.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
01.10.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
3-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.42 xG 0.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 10
293 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas saw off Colorado Rapids 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Dallas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Dallas had 44% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 56%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.42 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Dallas and 2.00 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 47%, draw 23%, Colorado Rapids 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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