Minnesota United 0-3 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2025

Minnesota United
0-3 HT 0-2
Chicago Fire
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.45
1/2
6%
24.5
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
13%
5.88
X/2
11%
6.03
X/X
12%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.65
2/2
19%
3.59
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.65 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.6pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.62/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.44
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.2 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.07.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-1 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABDK
28.07.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-3 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire CONLK
09.04.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-1 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
24.04.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 3-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
05.11.2020 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-2 HT 0-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
12.05.2019 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-0 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Minnesota United 0-3 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
0-3
AWAY Chicago Fire
0.99 xG 2.13
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
256 Passes 520
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire swept aside Minnesota United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

On the day, Minnesota United had 36% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.99 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Minnesota United and 1.67 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire?

Minnesota United 0-3 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 41%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Minnesota United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
21 Sep 2025
02:30 CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Analysis →
03:30 Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids Analysis →