Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.31
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
46%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.55
6+ Goals
9%
5.95
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.97 — our 46% vs market 42.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
18%
5.85
1/2
6%
19.2
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
5%
8.82
X/2
15%
4.72
X/X
7%
6.22
2/1
4%
32.5
2/2
32%
2.24
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.85 — our 18% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.7pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 56%
-27% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-20% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
422 Passes 366
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
18.07.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
30.05.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
02.07.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
04.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
29.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
0-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.52 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
449 Passes 502
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps saw off Sporting Kansas City 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 49% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 51%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.52 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 28%, draw 20%, Vancouver Whitecaps 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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