Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 May 2024

Sporting Kansas City
1-2 HT 0-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.95
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
4%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
12%
5.44
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.54
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Vancouver Whitecaps — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.09
+1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.3 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
415 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.07.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
04.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
29.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
03.04.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
21.11.2021 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
18.10.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.81 xG 1.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
482 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps edged past Sporting Kansas City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Vancouver Whitecaps made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 60% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 40%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.00 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 38%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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