Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.94/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.73
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
24.9 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
349 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 1-2 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
02.07.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
04.06.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
29.05.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 0-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
03.04.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
21.11.2021 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-1 HT 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.32 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
468 Passes 388
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps nicked a narrow win over Sporting Kansas City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 54% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 46%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.32 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.33 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City?

Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 53%, draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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