Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
1-2
HT 0-2
Columbus Crew
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Toronto FC
ABD
Toronto FC 1-1 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC and Columbus Crew shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 43% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 57%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.02 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Toronto FC and 2.17 for Columbus Crew.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
Toronto FC 1-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 30%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.