Charlotte 1-0 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.53
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.61
X/2
12%
7.62
X/X
12%
5.34
2/1
8%
21.95
2/2
6%
5.45
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.21/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.78
-27% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.7 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.05 xG 2.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 3
434 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-0
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.22 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
397 Passes 381
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte nicked a narrow win over Real Salt Lake 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Charlotte had 51% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 49%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.22 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Real Salt Lake?

Charlotte 1-0 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 49%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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