CF Montreal 1-1 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Aug 2025

CF Montreal
1-1 HT 1-1
DC United
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

CF Montreal vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.7
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
19%
4.96
X/2
12%
7.38
X/X
12%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.35
2/2
11%
5.01
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Montreal v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.49/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.36
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
17.9 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

CF Montreal vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY DC United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2025 DC United DC United 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
30.05.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-2 HT 3-2 DC United DC United ABD
31.03.2024 DC United DC United 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
27.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United CONLK
01.06.2023 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
16.04.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD

CF Montreal 1-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-1
AWAY DC United
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
394 Passes 250
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 58% of the ball to DC United's 42%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CF Montreal and 1.17 for DC United.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs DC United?

CF Montreal 1-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 46%, draw 23%, DC United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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