New England Revolution 0-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
10%
7.25
X/2
19%
5.05
X/X
6%
5.42
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
19%
2.73
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.5 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.33
-29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.9 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.94 xG 2.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
340 Passes 397
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 41
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.03.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
04.08.2019 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-2 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
16.09.2018 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
0-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.52 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
450 Passes 499
90% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC beat New England Revolution 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New England Revolution had 48% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 52%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.52 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for New England Revolution and 2.33 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Los Angeles FC?

New England Revolution 0-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 33%, draw 20%, Los Angeles FC 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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