New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York Red Bulls 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls squeezed past Philadelphia Union 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day New York Red Bulls made the difference. The one blemish: both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 51% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 49%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.31 to 1.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Philadelphia Union.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for New York Red Bulls and 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
New York Red Bulls 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 39%, draw 27%, Philadelphia Union 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.