Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
New York Red Bulls
CONLK
0-1
HT 0-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-2
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Philadelphia Union 2-0 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union beat New York Red Bulls 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 52% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 48%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.53 to 0.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.33 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Philadelphia Union 2-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.