Toronto FC vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Atlanta United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
4-2
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
Atlanta United
ABD
Toronto FC 1-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC and Atlanta United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 37% of the ball to Atlanta United's 63%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.72 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Toronto FC and 1.67 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Atlanta United?
Toronto FC 1-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 37%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United), Over 2.5 went the other way.