Orlando City vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
CF Montreal
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
Orlando City 1-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City and CF Montreal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orlando City at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orlando City had 52% of the ball to CF Montreal's 48%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.48 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando City and 0.83 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs CF Montreal?
Orlando City 1-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 56%, draw 22%, CF Montreal 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.