Chicago Fire 1-2 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.0pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.48/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.36
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.7 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
1-2
AWAY San Diego
1.90 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
347 Passes 480
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
42 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego nicked a narrow win over Chicago Fire 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day San Diego made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 43% of the ball to San Diego's 57%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.90 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs San Diego?

Chicago Fire 1-2 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 22%, San Diego 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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