Austin 1-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.78/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.39
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.3 Crosses 12.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
403 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.07.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-1 HT 1-1 Austin Austin ABD
12.05.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
31.03.2024 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
27.08.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
22.06.2023 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
14.05.2023 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
1-1
AWAY FC Dallas
0.92 xG 0.32
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
532 Passes 255
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austin vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin and FC Dallas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Austin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Austin had 65% of the ball to FC Dallas's 35%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.92 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Austin and 1.33 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Austin vs FC Dallas?

Austin 1-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austin 45%, draw 27%, FC Dallas 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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