FC Dallas 2-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
18%
4.38
X/2
9%
7.85
X/X
7%
4.63
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
16%
5.88
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.62
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.9 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Austin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
27.08.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
22.06.2023 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
14.05.2023 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
24.10.2022 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.07.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-1
AWAY Austin
1.48 xG 2.15
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
255 Passes 531
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 39
4 Crosses 40
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas nicked a narrow win over Austin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Dallas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 35% of the ball to Austin's 65%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.48 to 2.15 — on chances, Austin could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Dallas and 1.33 for Austin.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Austin?

FC Dallas 2-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 45%, draw 25%, Austin 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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