DC United 1-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Aug 2025

DC United
1-1 HT 1-0
Inter Miami
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

DC United vs Inter Miami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.85
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.81
X/2
16%
5.6
X/X
9%
4.52
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.64
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.5
Value flag · 2/X at 12.5 — our 12% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

DC United v Inter Miami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.40/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.52
-11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.3 Crosses 12.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

DC United vs Inter Miami Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.84 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
16.03.2024 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
09.07.2023 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
04.06.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
19.09.2022 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
15.05.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 2-1 DC United DC United ABD

DC United 1-1 Inter Miami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-1
AWAY Inter Miami
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
182 Passes 574
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH DC United vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and Inter Miami shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, DC United had 29% of the ball to Inter Miami's 71%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of DC United vs Inter Miami?

DC United 1-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 32%, draw 26%, Inter Miami 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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