FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FC Cincinnati 0-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC squeezed past FC Cincinnati 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 46% of the ball to New York City FC's 54%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.61 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.50 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
FC Cincinnati 0-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 37%, draw 30%, New York City FC 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati), BTTS Yes went the other way.