FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABDK
FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati edged past New York City FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 50% of the ball to New York City FC's 50%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.40 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Cincinnati's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 39%, draw 26%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.