Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
4-1
HT 2-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
Philadelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union swept aside Chicago Fire 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 52% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 48%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.70 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.50 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 53%, draw 22%, Chicago Fire 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.