CF Montreal 3-2 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.28
1/2
7%
24.95
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
13%
6.31
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
13%
3.18
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · X/2 at 5.21 — our 21% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.44
-7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.6 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Austin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2023 Austin Austin 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
19.06.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
3-2
AWAY Austin
2.17 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
312 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal edged past Austin 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day CF Montreal made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, CF Montreal had 49% of the ball to Austin's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.17 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Austin led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for CF Montreal and 1.00 for Austin.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Austin?

CF Montreal 3-2 Austin in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 37%, draw 22%, Austin 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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