Nashville SC 5-1 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +26%
1.88/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.58
-1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.2 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Orlando City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 Passes 391
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 2-3 HT 1-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
01.09.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
18.07.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-3 HT 0-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
08.11.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
5-1
AWAY Orlando City
2.64 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
418 Passes 406
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC swept aside Orlando City 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nashville SC had 50% of the ball to Orlando City's 50%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.64 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nashville SC and 1.83 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Orlando City?

Nashville SC 5-1 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 52%, draw 25%, Orlando City 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
24 Aug 2025
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Inter Miami Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Austin Analysis →
03:30 Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →