Houston Dynamo 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.47/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.6 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
435 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
18.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
31.03.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
22.06.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
02.04.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
18.07.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-2
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.11 xG 1.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
411 Passes 340
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes squeezed past Houston Dynamo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 55% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.11 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.33 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Houston Dynamo 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 44%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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