San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
1-2
HT 0-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
4-3
HT 2-2
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 57% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 43%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.89 to 1.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.33 for Houston Dynamo.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 41%, draw 26%, Houston Dynamo 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.