Charlotte 3-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.36
1/2
6%
21.15
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
13%
7.16
X/2
13%
5.45
X/X
9%
6.09
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
18%
2.87
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.8pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.48/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.27
+25% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.1 Crosses 12.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
317 Passes 490
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
18.07.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
24.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
23.04.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
06.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
3-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
2.76 xG 1.93
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
276 Passes 587
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
31 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte edged past Columbus Crew 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Charlotte made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Charlotte had 34% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 66%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.76 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Charlotte and 1.83 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?

Charlotte 3-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 39%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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