Orlando City vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Orlando City
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
Orlando City
ABD
3-2
HT 0-1
Portland Timbers
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
Orlando City
ABD
4-1
HT 2-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
Orlando City 1-0 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City nicked a narrow win over Portland Timbers 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orlando City had 40% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 60%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.54 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Orlando City and 1.67 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs Portland Timbers?
Orlando City 1-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 51%, draw 22%, Portland Timbers 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.