Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
3-4
HT 2-2
Toronto FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC edged past Toronto FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Nashville SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toronto FC had 50% of the ball to Nashville SC's 50%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.82 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nashville SC's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Toronto FC and 1.50 for Nashville SC.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Toronto FC 1-2 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 37%, draw 27%, Nashville SC 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.