DC United 0-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.94 — our 24% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.39
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
14%
6.03
X/2
10%
5.26
X/X
10%
4.3
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
15%
3.56
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 13% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.46/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.31
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 71%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.3 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 Passes 313
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-2 HT 0-2 DC United DC United ABD
30.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-2 DC United DC United ABD
16.05.2024 DC United DC United 1-4 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
24.09.2023 DC United DC United 3-5 HT 3-3 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
21.08.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
10.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
0-2
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.75 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
364 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH DC United vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls got the better of DC United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; New York Red Bulls found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, DC United had 48% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 52%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.75 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for DC United and 2.33 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of DC United vs New York Red Bulls?

DC United 0-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split DC United 39%, draw 29%, New York Red Bulls 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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