San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.65/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.16
+22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.0 Crosses 13.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
22.06.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
02.04.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
18.07.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
10.04.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-3 HT 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
25.07.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 1-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
0-1
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.70 xG 1.32
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
207 Passes 442
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Houston Dynamo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 36% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 64%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.70 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.33 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?

San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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