Columbus Crew 1-2 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Aug 2025

Columbus Crew
1-2 HT 0-2
New England Revolution
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
6.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.3
X/2
10%
11.1
X/X
9%
6.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.85
2/2
11%
7.92
2/X
5%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.85 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.7pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Columbus Crew v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.80/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.98
+5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.9 Crosses 17.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
4W-2D-0L
AWAY New England Revolution
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
487 Passes 329
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
13.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
30.06.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-5 HT 1-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
16.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
24.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

Columbus Crew 1-2 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-2
AWAY New England Revolution
1.37 xG 2.11
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
505 Passes 256
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
54 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution nicked a narrow win over Columbus Crew 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 64% of the ball to New England Revolution's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.37 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Columbus Crew and 0.50 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

Columbus Crew 1-2 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 54%, draw 19%, New England Revolution 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
24 Aug 2025
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Inter Miami Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Austin Analysis →
03:30 Nashville SC vs Orlando City Analysis →
03:30 Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →