New England Revolution 0-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.5
X/1
12%
6.19
X/2
16%
5.63
X/X
13%
5.06
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
3.39
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/X at 12.5 — our 11% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.35/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.54
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
18.6 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.03 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
370 Passes 436
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
30.06.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-5 HT 1-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.10.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
16.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
24.07.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
08.05.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
0-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.24 xG 0.37
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
317 Passes 584
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Columbus Crew made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New England Revolution had 38% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 62%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.24 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New England Revolution and 2.33 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?

New England Revolution 0-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 34%, draw 31%, Columbus Crew 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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