Minnesota United vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Minnesota United v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Minnesota United vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Minnesota United
ABD
2-3
HT 2-2
Minnesota United
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
CF Montreal
ABD
2-3
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
Minnesota United 1-0 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United edged past CF Montreal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Minnesota United had 35% of the ball to CF Montreal's 65%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.63 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Minnesota United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Minnesota United and 2.00 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Minnesota United vs CF Montreal?
Minnesota United 1-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 54%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.