New York Red Bulls 2-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
12%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
6%
9.02
X/X
17%
4.53
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
7.57
2/X
5%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.64/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.45
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +64%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.6 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Nashville SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.32 xG 0.42
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
288 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
26.02.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
22.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.03.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
07.11.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.06.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-0
AWAY Nashville SC
1.95 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
380 Passes 509
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls beat Nashville SC 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 43% of the ball to Nashville SC's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.95 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.17 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

New York Red Bulls 2-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 44%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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