Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
2-2
HT 2-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union cruised past FC Cincinnati 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Philadelphia Union made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 53% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 47%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 3.20 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 2.00 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 39%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.