Balingen 1-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Apr 2026

Balingen
1-1 HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Balingen vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
64%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.1pp
64%
Away Win
54%
+10.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Balingen v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balingen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 58%
-14% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.20/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.50
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +117%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Balingen vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balingen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 0-0 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Balingen Balingen 2-3 HT 0-2 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
15.08.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-0 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Balingen Balingen 1-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-2 HT 1-2 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
13.05.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-2 HT 2-1 Balingen Balingen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Balingen vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balingen and Mainz 05 II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Mainz 05 II carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Balingen and 2.00 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Balingen vs Mainz 05 II?

Balingen 1-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balingen vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Balingen 18%, draw 18%, Mainz 05 II 64%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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