Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 50%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.58/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.18
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
08.02.2025 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
07.09.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-4 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
30.03.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
27.10.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
20.03.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen edged past Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Oberhausen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.50 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 29%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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