Karvan Evlakh 1-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-11.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.26/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.14
+33% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvan Evlakh
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shamakhi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.12.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 0-3 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
14.09.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 3-0 HT 2-0 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERS
POST-MATCH Karvan Evlakh vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvan Evlakh edged past Shamakhi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shamakhi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shamakhi led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Karvan Evlakh and 3.00 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Karvan Evlakh vs Shamakhi?

Karvan Evlakh 1-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvan Evlakh vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karvan Evlakh 33%, draw 25%, Shamakhi 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamakhi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
18 Apr 2026
18:30 Karabağ vs Sabah Analysis →