Karabağ 0-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.1pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
2.60/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.20
+81% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.04.2026 Karabağ Karabağ 2-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
01.03.2026 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
18.12.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.05.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
27.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
22.02.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah squeezed past Karabağ 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Karabağ and 2.00 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 0-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 54%, draw 20%, Sabah 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
18 Apr 2026
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