Karabağ 2-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.46/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.65
+11% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sabah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
22.02.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.12.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
11.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-4 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERK
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah nicked a narrow win over Karabağ 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Karabağ and 2.00 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 2-3 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 51%, draw 25%, Sabah 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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