Sabah 1-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 58%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.37/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.51
+35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +87%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Karabağ
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.02.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.12.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
11.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-4 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERK
30.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-7 HT 0-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Karabağ shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sabah and 3.00 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Karabağ?

Sabah 1-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sabah 26%, draw 27%, Karabağ 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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