Karabağ 1-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-7.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.67/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.80
+45% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sabah
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.12.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
11.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-4 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERK
30.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-7 HT 0-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
24.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ and Sabah shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Karabağ carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Karabağ and 2.00 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 1-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 61%, draw 19%, Sabah 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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