Sabah 1-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 61%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.37/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.45
+34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +121%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Karabağ
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
29.09.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
11.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
08.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-4 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERK
30.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-7 HT 0-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
24.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
17.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Karabağ shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sabah and 3.33 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Karabağ?

Sabah 1-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sabah 30%, draw 24%, Karabağ 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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