Sebail FK 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.07/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.79
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.02.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
07.12.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
27.09.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 3-2 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
21.04.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-2 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
17.02.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-2 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
02.12.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK and Araz Nahçıvan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Araz Nahçıvan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sebail FK and 1.33 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Sebail FK 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 28%, draw 29%, Araz Nahçıvan 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
27 Apr 2025
19:00 Sabah vs Karabağ Analysis →