Sabah 2-1 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.21/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.04
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Karabağ
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
31.05.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
27.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
22.02.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.12.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
11.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah nicked a narrow win over Karabağ 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Sabah made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sabah and 1.83 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Karabağ?

Sabah 2-1 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sabah 29%, draw 31%, Karabağ 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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