Karabağ 2-2 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
49%
+10.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
01.03.2026 Karabağ Karabağ 3-3 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
18.12.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.05.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
27.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
22.02.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.12.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ and Sabah couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Karabağ carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karabağ and 1.83 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 2-2 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 60%, draw 22%, Sabah 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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