Karabağ 3-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+5.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
2.32/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.87
+59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
18.12.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
31.05.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 2-3 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
27.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
22.02.2025 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.12.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
29.09.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-2 HT 3-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ and Sabah shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karabağ and 1.67 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 3-3 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 53%, draw 20%, Sabah 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Under 2.5
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